As we wind into holiday season, we often press to squeeze the last fruits of the year by working long hours right before the break.  So it is again at Conclusive this year, as we are working at the last minute to finalize a White Paper on Trigger Marketing with the Aberdeen Group.

 

The Aberdeen research examines the components and performance of different types of event based marketing triggers, including life stage triggers, transaction and interaction behavioral triggers, as well as different stage of deployment, from event identification to response execution.  Preliminary results indicate that Best-in-Class organization benefit greatly from their investment in trigger marketing; with over 80% of the firms enjoying increased customer profitability, over 85% greater cross-sell and upsell, and approximately 95% with greater performance in precision marketing. 

 

In past research, Gartner has predicted a future of mass automated interactions – the Aberdeen Group confirms that it is well on its way.  Conclusive is convinced that the coming age of trigger marketing interactions are inevitable as well, and has been bonding the elements of such a solution for several years. 

 

The company’s foundation is in fact, based on automated marketing technology – Conclusive’s own listcleanup.com was delivering NCOA, list rentals and enhancements over the web while the concepts of marketing automation were still a twinkle in most of our eyes.  

In recent years, after the acquisition of Synapse Technology and Conclusive Strategies in 2006, and progressing with the adoption of the MicroStrategy business intelligence platform in 2007, we’ve accelerated our automated triggered marketing platform to emerge as a Best-in-Class solution.  We accept input from many different data providers, ranging from top tier consumer list and marketing data providers such as Acxiom and Experian, along with as well as other commercial off-the-shelf and/or proprietary sources, align rules for interpreting appropriate marketing communications for each data event, and invoke Conclusive’s long-established data delivery platform for delivery via direct mail, email, text messaging, or routing priority customer/prospect records to call centers.  Particularly our event driven marketing solutions in banking and with agency partner GSMarketing for Toyota have received acclaim as leading edge, forward-thinking trigger-based  solutions.
 

The core benefits of this integrated marketing platform are pinpoint timing and brutally efficient marketing.  The tentative title of Aberdeen’s report, in fact, states a major feature simply and to the point: “Timing is Everything”.  
 

Now as we finally hit the brakes and skid into the holidays, that same adage seems to also apply to our personal lives.  Thanksgiving is special every year, but this year, amid the hectic pace that surrounded our presidential election, amid the rock and roll of the stock market and amid the tension of global economic uncertainty, well, Thanksgiving just seems a little more so special and a little more “just in time” to save us from burnout. 

 

The Thanksgiving break seems to offer the perfect anecdote for the chaotic year – a solution, per se, that gives us a time out, a chance to enjoy a full bodied meal and reflect on the very many blessings that we enjoy as citizens of these great States, even despite the setbacks and challenges we might encounter along the way.  Our family will set aside a few hours this afternoon serving meals at an Austin homeless shelter, and then cook up that perfect Thanksgiving meal with friends tomorrow night. Looking ahead, I can sense that it will be the perfect solution, at just the right time. 

Here’s hoping that you enjoy the perfect Just in Time Thanksgiving as well.


HeadacheIn direct Mail marketing, that old adage, "the more things change the more they stay the same", does not always apply. As most of you know, starting November 23 the new move update regulations go into effect. Same old headache for the USPS, stacks and stacks of UAA(Undeliverable As Addressed) mail, but now they are counting on some sweeping changes to reduce that migraine to a mild aggravation.

Okay, here's the technical lowdown, after Nov 23 rd, all First-Class Mailings at automated and presort rates, and now all Standard Mailings will require some form of move update qualification within 95 days of the day of mailing. There are a number of approved methods but the NCOALink™, (National Change of Address) provides the most comprehensive solution. Your mailing list will run first through the CASS™/DPV™ with LACSLinkprocess to standardize the addresses, provide the bar code information and assign each address with a deliverability grade. The second step provides a change of address for any individual, family or business that has moved and filed a COA form with the USPS over the last 48 months http://www.listcleanup.com/content/NCOA_Link_move48.aspx . There’s also an 18 month option, that will also move update qualify the list.


Okay, returning to the headache. The USPS has hopefully relieved some of their pain, but now many in the mailing business are starting to feel more than a little discomfort, trying to wrap their brains around the regulations, the costs, the PAF forms that are required, explaining these new requirements to their Standard mailers, managing the time required, and a host of issues.. Well at the risk of extending this whole headache analogy too far, Listcleanup.com can be your aspirin or Tylenol, depending on how much pain you may be in at the moment.


We been helping people migrate through NCOALink™, and move update qualifications since the whole thing started back in 1997. For more than a decade, over 2,500 companies have trusted us for timely, efficient and cost-effective solutions. Along the way, we've added other services, tailored to provide our direct marketing clients an edge over their competition. Yet through it all, there are a few core values that have never wavered; a focus on customer service, sales and IT support, a seamless online order process that insures reliable, timely delivery of your orders and flexible pricing .


As my colleague, Bill Brennan, mentioned in a recent post, should you take on an in-house solution given all variables that will come into play, before speaking with us first? We have the answers, we can make this whole move update “challenge” simple, easy, and even better, we can show you how to earn revenue providing this service to your client.


Why bother with the headache, when you can call us.


Today the focus was on the move update changes, just around the corner. Down the road we’ll look into the range of data management services we can provide, all pointed in the same direction, what can we do to improve your direct mail bottom line ?

http://www.listcleanup.com/content/Default.aspx



The Value of a Customer

 

There is an old saying – “If it’s too good to be true, it probably is”  this saying along with “You get what you pay for” are truths many of us have had to learn the hard way.   With the new USPS mandated Move Update deadline rapidly approaching, many companies are looking at their options for purchasing NCOALink® and alternative Move Update services. 

Some NCOA vendors are offering (including Listcleanup.com) an all you can eat at one price option.   Now, shopping for the cheapest price seems like a logical solution, except when you consider the value of a customer.   Given the significant increases in NCOA volumes projected by the addition of Standard Mail in the new requirements, is it not logical that some vendors are going to have challenges in delivering on advertised turn times?    If the average mail house or lettershop’s monthly mail volume is traditionally 80% Standard Mail, then volumes for many of the NCOA providers could be quadrupling over the previous First Class volumes.  

So, when your customer calls and wants to know why their mailing went out later than promised, do you think they are going to be satisfied with the answer  - our company selected the lowest cost NCOA provider and they failed to return the file to us when promised?


Despite the dark cloud over the financial markets, it's an exciting time to attend the November 18-20 Bank Administration Institute (BAI) conference in Orlando.  World markets have been in a tailspin, a wide assortment of industry acquisitions, bailouts and bankruptcies are in abundance, while the consumer lending crisis seems to be at the center of an economic firestorm. Attendees will be eager to hear Colin Powell's comments, as well as an impressive array of other speakers ranging from George Stephanopoulos to Arkadi Kuhlmann (President/CEO of ING Direct) to Bill Taylor, co-founder of Fast Company.  
Colin Powell
Conclusive Marketing will exhibiting at the show highlighting our data management, data intelligence and data delivery proficiencies, alongside MicroStrategy, our chosen vendor for business intelligence and data analysis solutions.  The timing seems ripe for the industry to respond to a very challenging marketing environment whereby there must be marketing integration to ensure that all facets of programs work together to achieve the highest possible return on investment.

Conclusive's Event Driven Marketing platform provides a compelling option for banks to identify and prioritize customers who are in the midst of anomalistic transaction behavior; while our data delivery services offers banks tightly integrated methods of ensuring that each customer meriting communication receives communication.  Our relationship with MicroStrategy adds an extra array of value added solutions for the banking industry, solutions that particularly ensure  management can attentively monitor key customer-facing metrics.

If you are out in Orlando for the show, drop by to booth 1251 and let's trade thoughts about the changes you are facing, and what the perspectives of our keynotes and colleague presenters imply for these dynamic times. 

With marketing dollars declining, it is more important than ever to communicate to customers and prospects most likely to purchase.  Your customer base is your best resource for generating additional revenue and determining your best possible prospects.  In order to utilize this valuable resource, your must learn as much as possible about them.

 

Third party data providers can determine important facts about your customers by simply matching your database of names and addresses to theirs.  Types of information available are age, income, education, marital status, presence of children, credit score, and on and on.  Once these details are known, data analysis can be used to determine what a customer of your product “looks like”.  This data intelligence will enable you to create a customer profile for each product in your portfolio. 

 

Customer profiles create the ability of a company to increase sales in a couple of ways.  The first way is to cross-sell to current customers.  By using the profiles of customers currently purchasing certain combinations of products in your portfolio you can determine the next best product to sell to each customer.  Secondly, these profiles also give you guidelines for acquiring prospects.  Third party data providers can provide prospect lists based on detailed demographics that you determine through the customer profiling.  In essence you are determining the next product to sell your customers and the next prospect to sell your product.  Follow up with lead management processes such as direct mail marketing and both approaches translate into additional revenue.


Forecasting the need for standalone online NCOA services is a function of five intersecting variables: USPS regulations, ACS Options, Software Integration, Internalization, and competitive offerings. 

The largest impact on NCOA services in the last 10 years is the USPS’s change to the Move Update regulations.   Beginning in November of this year, the new regulations will add Standard Mail and double the frequency requirement to 95 days.

With this projected increase in demand comes more options and changing economics.    For some larger mailers, the regulation may make it cost effective to bring the processing in house.  These larger mailers are also more likely to have already purchased industry specific software that includes integrated flat rate NCOA services.   Finally, the changing options with ACS services may be optimal for some clients who don’t need to clean a list before it is mailed.

However, for the vast majority of smaller to medium size mailers, nothing is easier or less costly than using an on demand, online NCOA service.    No software to buy, no hardware to buy, no agreements to sign, and no payments in advance.    Combine these benefits with sub 10 minute turn times (coming in December) and the benefits of advanced bundled services, and nothing is simpler or less costly for the small to medium size mailer.    Make sure you ask for a competitive rate, and see why even some of the industry's largest mailers still prefer the benefits of working with an independent online list hygiene company.


The Ethics of NCOA Move Update®

Scenario – I own a mailing service and in preparation for the new Move Update regulations coming in November of 2008, I have just signed up for an ‘all you can eat’ NCOALink® 18 month service (NCOA-18), or maybe I have even invested to get my own USPS® NCOALink® license.

Now, as a business owner, I realize the more clients I can run through NCOA-18, with its fixed costs, the more profit I can make.   On the other hand, many of my clients have historically been using the 48 month version of NCOALink (NCOA-48), because it catches more moves and cost only fractionally more than the NCOA-18 service.

As a business owner, do I arbitrarily decide to run all new orders through NCOA-18, justifying it by saying I am sure all the client wants is to secure the postal discount…they are not really that interested in catching the maximum number of moves?   Do I ask the client in such a way that steers them to the answer I want, i.e. “Your primary interest is in saving money and securing the postal discounts, correct?” Or, do I sit down with the client and go over the pros and cons of both NCOA-48 and NCOA-18 and help the client make an informed decision, thereby setting up client specific guidelines for when a file would be processed through NCOA-18 and when it would go to NCOA-48?

Some providers suggest to a client that they run their list through NCOA-48 the first time and NCOA-18 after that.  On the surface, this sounds logical, but if you don’t ask the client what percent of their file is changing/updated every month and how old are the input sources being used to update the file, then this advice may be provided erroneously.

That fact is, a third more moves are caught by NCOA-48 than NCOA-18, and as we all know, the USPS created the Move Update regulations to reduce the amount of Undeliverable As Addressed mail.


Advanced data processing occurs once data is cleaned, standardized and consolidated to ensure that data is up to date.  Move updates should be applied periodically with services such as National Change of Address (NCOA).  Providers that perform NCOA updates often will also provide phone number updates and appends.  It is vital to have the accurate addresses and phone numbers to reach customers. 

Now that the customers can be reached, it is important to determine if they want to be reached.  If you are planning telemarketing efforts, you need to bounce your customer database against the National Do Not Call directory.  This will enable you to identify those who do not want to receive phone calls. 

For direct mail marketing it is important to determine if your customers want to be contacted via mail.  Data providers can flag customers on national do not mail lists.  Your company should also maintain its own do not mail indicator. 

Finally, it is essential to determine customers that are deceased.  Data providers can supply flags to indicate those customers that are deceased.  Communicating to deceased customers is upsetting to family members and will burn their goodwill with your company. 

Once data is up to date and solicitation preferences noted, the third step to continue turning data into information is data enhancement...


Marketing has undergone a paradigm shift. New tools, new technologies, new approaches and new data have opened marketers’ eyes that there is indeed a cause and effect and predictability in customer’s actions. It is discernable in the marketing data, as Davenport notes: “Most business functions, even those, like marketing, that have historically depended on art rather than science—can be improved with sophisticated quantitative techniques.” 1 In a paper, “CRM from ‘art to science’” Jackson2 sets forth a new framework for treating marketing as a science:

Early research and methods concerning customer relationship work often focus on more intuitive approaches to customer management. Many of the initial theories, such as one to one marketing and value-based management, were less analytical in their approach. Likewise, too often companies that have implemented customer relationship management (CRM) systems have done so with an unstructured approach (art) as opposed to a structured and by-the-numbers approach (science).
 
Historically, marketing is known as a social science, rooted in psychology and sociology. However, as has been recently discovered, customer behavior is actually quite quantitatively predictive:

Marketing…has always been tough to quantify because it is rooted in psychology. But now consumer products companies can hone their market research using multiattribute utility theory–a tool for understanding and predicting consumer behaviors and decisions. Similarly, the advertising industry is adopting econometricsstatistical techniques for measuring the lift provided by different ads and promotions over time.3

It is only recently that the marketers have discovered new data mining methods which are proving to be highly robust and reliable. “Over the last 10 years, a paradigm shift has occurred in the statistical analysis of marketing data.” 4

At the same time, consumers themselves have undergone their own paradigm shift…from being marketed to, to taking control of what messages they hear, when they hear them and what channels of communication that companies are able to use to communicate with them.“ The consumer is deluged with messages. The average consumer sees about one million marketing messages a year-about 3,000 a day. One trip to the supermarket alone can expose you to more than 10,000 marketing messages!” 5Customers will no longer tolerate this mass media or mass customization approach. Customers are individuals, not transactions or demographics. "Customers are demanding that marketers communicate when and how it is convenient for them. Underlying right-time marketing are analytic and predictive capabilities that determine the optimal interaction strategies, automation and incorporation of repeatable best practices” 6

One of the key shifts that has occurred is the need to treat customers as individuals and not as segments or clusters: “Successful direct marketing initiatives require firms to predict the behavior of specific individuals.” 7

Today’s managers are very interested in predicting the future purchasing patterns of their customers. Faced with a database containing information on the frequency and timing of transactions for a list of customers, it is natural to try to make forecasts about future purchasing.These projections often range from aggregate sales trajectories (e.g., for the next 52 weeks), to individual-level conditional expectations (i.e., the best guess about a particular customer's future purchasing, given information about his past behavior). There is a great deal of interest, among marketing practitioners and academics alike, in developing models to accomplish these tasks.

A new approach to customer data analysis is needed. Customers must be analyzed and treated as individuals.Today it is possible to analyze individual customer behavior and act on it with custom marketing materials, with the right message at the right time. It is intuitively obvious: “The secret to achieving a good marketing ROI is simple: Give customers more of what they truly want and less of what they don’t.”9With marketing data analytics and business intelligence, we can figure out what this is and optimize for it.


1 Thomas H. Davenport, "Competing on Analytics," Harvard Business Review 84, no. 1 (2006).

2 Tyrone W. Jackson, "CRM: From 'Art to Science'," Journal of Database Marketing & Customer Strategy Management 13, no. 1 (2005).

3 Davenport, "Competing on Analytics."

4 Greg M. Allenby, David G. Bakken, and Peter E. Rossi, "The HB Revolution," Marketing Research 16, no. 2 (2004).

5 Seth Godin, Permission Marketing (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1999).

6Dan Goldstein and Yuchun Lee, "The Rise of Right-Time Marketing," Journal of Database Marketing & Customer Strategy Management 12, no. 3 (2005).

7 Greg M. Allenby, Robert P. Leone, and Lichung Jen, "A Dynamic Model of Purchase Timing with Application to Direct Marketing," Journal of the American Statistical Association 94, no. 336 (1999).

8 Peter S. Fader, Bruce G. S. Hardie, and Ka Lok Lee, ""Counting Your Customers" The Easy Way: An Alternative to the Pareto/NBD Model," Marketing Science 24, no. 2 (2005).

9 V. Kumar, Rajkumar Venkatesan, and Werner Reinartz, "Knowing What to Sell, When, and to Whom," Harvard Business Review 84, no. 3 (2006


With a slowing economy, it is important to use information to drive marketing communications. Data collection and analysis needs to create business intelligence that marketers can use to identify the right opportunity at the right time and guides marketers to deliver the right message.

Data is everywhere. It is with sales reps, in departmental databases, in market research departments, and list processing services to name a few. The first step to turning this data into marketing information is to utilize data management services.   

A key element to data management services is electronic data processing. Automatic data processing is used to consolidate data into a 360 view of the customer. Data quality management uses hygiene procedures to clean and standardize the data. Data consultants can assist in recommending data management solutions to address specific needs and concerns.

Once data is clean and consolidated, the second step is using advanced data processing to continue turning data into information . . .


I like to enjoy the ironies in life. Remember how we once worried about privacy on the internet? We didn't want Amazon to know what we bought last time we shopped. We worried that our Google searches would end up compiled in a master database on a server farm somewhere? (they are...).

 

Then came blogs and many of us started to share our thoughts and ideas with all who would listen. Then social networks like MySpace and Facebook allowed us to share nearly everything else with our hundreds of "friends". And now we have life streaming. New sites including Lifestream.fm,  Twitter and Friendfeed allow users to instantly update their digital personas across numerous networks with every single, minute detail of their lives.

 

People are generally willing to tell us what they like, what they want, what they need. Yet, as marketers we continue to not listen. We compile marketing data, do analysis after analysis, send email and direct mail, then look for sales. But do we actually communicate?  Do we meet our customers' needs?  Do we provide for a continuous loop of enhanced understanding?

 

Compiling data alone won't do the trick. It's the nuances we see, the insight we impart, the understanding of who our customers are, that makes us intelligent marketers.


Sophisticated new automated marketing systems designed by Conclusive aspire to reflect the highest form of marketing prowess—selecting and executing communications for customers as if your best sales representative was always there. 

That description (as if your best representative were there) might sound a bit "Back to the Future," but think about it—advertising and marketing departments have for years sought to present the best marketing communiciations possible to their customers, but have historically issued a relatively small number of messages and imagery in their communications in order to be realistically economic. For years we've recognized that type of communication strategy was suboptimal, if only because one or a small number of communications could never speak adequately, much less optimally, to all the members of a large customer base. To communicate most effectively with a customer base, one would have to be prepared with a nearly limitless set of communication options for each individual consumer. It would be as if [indeed] your best sales representative(s) was on the virtual showfloor greeting each customer, selecting their messages according to the very wide set of factors that might be influencing each of those customers' choices.

What might the "best" sales representatives be looking for? Well, they'd be observing each consumer as they enter the store, recognizing how they dress, what they drive, whether they had children at their side . . . they'd notice what seemed to interest each consumer and they'd align their own efforts to sell the store products that most closely matched the combination of the consumer's interest and situation (i.e. factors that might lead them away from their initial interest, such as what they wore, what they drove, and those children . . . ). Frankly this is how the best sales and marketing departments operated a century ago—they just had no scaleability to apply their "best practices" to more than a consumer or two at a time!

So advertising and marketing evolved to determine central messages that could appeal more economically to larger numbers of consumers. Hence mass marketing flourished. The trouble was, that evolution brought the messages further and further from each individual consumers' interest. Now with the emergence of deep databases and technology that position us to more elegantly overcome marketing's "scale" issues, its time to evolve back!—back toward "human" marketing that lets us conduct careful and thoughtful custom communications for  thousands upon thousands upon thousands of individual customers as if we were meeting each individually on our virtual showfloor.

What is Conclusive's plan for this marketing future? The key is structuring marketing solutions to simulate human practices—leveraging any and all knowledge known to the marketeer, building "rules" that can determine the most appropriate communications to issue each consumer based on their interactions with us, and enslaving technologies that can execute those predetermined communications automatically when customer interactions are detected. Conclusive have meaningful assets in all these areas and has begun building an as-yet-to-be-named next generation solution that captures the essence of the "best" salesperson in a scaleable marketing automation platform. 

On our website, we call the ingredients Data Management, Data Intelligence and Data Delivery. Together, it can also be called Event Driven Marketing, Knowledge-based Marketing or Interaction-based Marketing. Funny though, to me (despite all the new terms) all this sounds so old as to be new.



In addition to collecting back taxes, the IRS also applies interest and penalties against those who do not follow the rules. The United States Postal Service® (USPS®) needs to take a page from the IRS book and apply more strict consequences for those who choose to cheat the Move Update rules.

Claiming postal discounts for using an NCOALINK® service, but never applying the changes to your list is illegal.

It is not that the USPS® lacks authority to consistently apply strong consequences, but historically it has not taken full advantage of this authority. In fact, the Move Update form states  “I understand that anyone who furnishes false or misleading information on this form or who omits information requested on this form may be subject to criminal and/or civil penalties, including fines and imprisonment.”

Yes, there have been periodic reports of Move Update audits finding companies not in compliance, but the scarcity of these reports and the relatively light consequences does little to deter would-be cheaters. However, let the word spread that some executives are going to jail and the USPS® now hands out penalties and interest charges amounting to five times the illegally claimed postal discounts and the mailing industry will take notice.

Specifically, NCOALINK® crooks are costing all of us higher postal rates. They place multiple financial burdens on the USPS® by claiming discounts not earned and then depositing a higher percentage of Undeliverable As Addressed (UAA) mail into the system. This costs the USPS® (and ultimately us) twice.

With the coming Intelligent Mail Barcode, the USPS® will be in a very good position to more easily see which mailers have the highest UAA mail. With this information, increasing the number of audit teams and publicizing ‘busts’ will quickly pay for any increase in required manpower.

Let’s stop subsidizing the cheaters!